Keywords: Penalaran Numerasi, Self-Efficacy, Mediasi Penuh, PjBL-Etnomatematika, Limit Fungsi Aljabar, MCA
Abstract
Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis model hubungan kausal antara Pendekatan PjBL-Etnomatematika menggunakan Media MCA (X) terhadap Penalaran Numerasi (Y) dengan Self-Efficacy (M) sebagai variabel mediasi. Latar belakang utama adalah rendahnya Penalaran Numerasi siswa yang diduga kuat dipengaruhi oleh Self-Efficacy yang rendah, khususnya pada materi abstrak Limit Fungsi Aljabar. Penelitian ini menggunakan desain Survei Analitik Korelasional dengan teknik Analisis Jalur (Path Analysis). Data dikumpulkan dari siswa SMA yang telah mengimplementasikan pendekatan PjBL-Etnomatematika (MCA). Hasil uji kualitas model menunjukkan kecocokan yang baik (Goodness-of-Fit). Hasil analisis kausalitas menunjukkan bahwa Self-Efficacy Siswa berperan sebagai Mediator Penuh (Full Mediator). Koefisien jalur langsung dari PjBL-Etnomatematika ke Penalaran Numerasi tidak signifikan ), sedangkan Efek Tidak Langsung ) adalah signifikan (interval kepercayaan tidak mengandung nol). Temuan ini memvalidasi Social Cognitive Theory (SCT) Bandura, menunjukkan bahwa Pendekatan PjBL-Etnomatematika tidak secara langsung meningkatkan Penalaran Numerasi, melainkan harus melalui peningkatan Self-Efficacy (yang dipicu oleh Mastery Experience dan Vicarious Experience). Implikasi praktisnya adalah perlunya fokus pada penguatan dimensi afektif sebagai prasyarat utama untuk peningkatan kompetensi numerasi kognitif
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